Market Forecasting – It Really Works!

Just like most traders, I started out trading Stocks, Futures and Commodities by way of the news, Government reports, crop reports, the occasional tip, and a gut feel. Needless to say, these were not very effective.

But then, during the late 1980′s, I became more aware of price charts and a few chart indicators.

The chart indicators got me excited, as I thought at the time that I had stumbled upon a way to know in advance what the market was going to do next. The Stochastic oscillator was really intriguing, and it almost appeared to predict when the market would move up or down.

But again, like most have discovered, these indicators don’t really predict. How can they, when they are simply based on averages, or volume, or a slew of other historical data backward monitoring divide by two forward projecting algorithm that has no more connection to the future than five dice in a shaker cup!

Now don’t get me wrong. Chart indicators are pretty useful and I continue to use them today (now 3 decades later). However, market forecasting is NOT what these indicators do best. They do, however, give us a lot of useful information that has its place even among those of us who rely mostly on market forecasting methods.

That’s right. I said “market forecasting methods”.

By the start of the 1990′s, I came upon the knowledge of applying Fibonacci ratios to market price action. The idea seemed a bit strange to me back then, until I decided to give it a try on my favorite Pork Bellies market. For the next 6 weeks, I would virtually catch every bottom or top within just a few ticks, turning a small amount of money into a larger small amount of money (I was using borrowed funds). Eureka!

But it soon became my undoing. Because of my initial long stretch of catching every new market move, often within just a couple of ticks of the very bottom or top, I started to think I could do no wrong. Wrong! I made a trade in the Live Cattle futures that I was so sure had to turn, but didn’t. I held onto the losing trade because it was impossible for me to be wrong. It wasn’t until I was wiped out that I had to admit that I’m human after all. My golden goose had become my golden ticket to bust-ville.

A lesson was learned back then that set me on a course to greater enlightenment. Market forecasting was in fact possible. However, market forecasting required incorporating discipline and confirmation, and that you can never be 100% accurate 100% of the time.

It also became quite apparent to me that the path to greater market forecasting would require digging deeper into the reasons why Fibonacci can be effective at times, and at other times not so much. This led me to realize that it all revolves around ‘natural laws’, that which Fibonacci is a part.

My search into the realm of natural laws brought me to the teachings of W. D. Gann. With Gann, I came to find value in the calculating of time and price squares (Gann Wheel also known as the Square of Nine), angles, ratios, market geometry, and much more.

Armed with Fibonacci and Gann and all the variations that comes with a deep understanding of these, my research pushed me out beyond the stars. Yes, the effect of the Sun and Moon, and a few of the neighboring planets on our planet Earth. It just made sense!

Now I’m not referring to Astrology. That is simply not my cup of tea. I’m a man of science, not mysticism or divination. What I am referring to is Astronomy, and the gravitational and seasonal effects that come with planetary motion and interactive influences.

So let me simplify this.

As the moon circles the Earth, it has an effect on bodies of water as well as the electromagnetic field of the Earth. We have tide charts as a result of this, and it has been proven humans tend to act differently (as a group) during full moons. The term ‘lunatic’ comes from the latin “Luna”, which is ‘moon’.

While the Earth turns once every 24 hours (giving us days), it revolves around the Sun once every 365 days approximately (a year). Since the Earth is in an elliptical orbit around the Sun, it will move closer or farther away, resulting in what we see as ‘seasons’.

Now think about how these ‘seasons’ affect our markets and you’ll start to see the relationship.

Once I came to see the connection between the Fibonacci, the Gann, the geometric price patterns, the effects of the Moon and Sun, it all came together in what is known as CYCLES!

The 24-hour cycle (day), the 90-day cycle (season), the 365-day cycle (year), the moon cycle, and all kinds of other cycles happening at the same time but at varying degrees with different effects on different markets!

Market price action is affected by human behavior (we are the buyers/sellers), which is affected by supply and demand, which is affected by seasons, which is a cycle, and human behavior can be affected by the moon, which is also a cycle, and on and on.

With all this understanding about what affects the markets, and realizing that much of this can be exposed by way of a price chart and a few different approaches, market forecasting became even more effective than the simple Fibonacci model. That model only looked at the markets in a narrow way, thus effective at times and lacking at other times. True market forecasting requires having a grasp of several different techniques that address different aspects of price behavior.

It is when the avid chart reader goes forth to learn about these influences to price action that the proclamation of “market forecasting really works” becomes a forgone conclusion and part of the daily chart reading ritual.

Building Your Proven Marketing System: 5 Steps to Blog Marketing Success

I must have heard it a thousand times…

“Our proven marketing system works on autopilot. Just sign up, and the world is your oyster.”

Yeah, I think the same guy that said that sold the Brooklyn Bridge to my brother-in-law.

So, here is the truth about the so-called “proven marketing systems,” and how you can employ a simple five step system to achieve blog marketing success–they all take time and effort to build, tweak, and maintain.

That said, there are marketing systems out there that can make you money, virtually on autopilot-and these proven marketing systems can help you build profitable blogs offering both affiliate marketing products, coaching, and network marketing opportunities.

So, what is the catch?

The catch is that you have to be willing to do the work to build your system.

It is like that peasant guy in the story, The Parable of the Pipeline, by Burke Hedges. There was no way he was ever going to make a dime hauling water to his village until he built the pipeline and made it work.

But when the water started flowing, he was “instantly” wealthy.

The same principles impacting the success of our peasant pipeline builder are at work in your blog marketing. Simply put, you have to build your system before you can expect them to come.

In this case, your proven marketing system consists of blog content that attracts organic search traffic based on your keyword focused articles. Once on your site, your readers will be exposed to valuable information relevant to your niche and their needs, as well as opportunities to join your email list.

So, if you are looking for a proven marketing system, and you’re tired of the garbage, the run around, and the outright hype, here are five steps you can follow:

1. Decide you want to build an online business

2. Choose a business model that suits you (network marketing, affiliate marketing)

3. Select a traffic solution (blogging, paid advertising, video marketing)

4. Drive all traffic to your lead capture page

5. Build a list and serve the needs of that list.

That is a proven marketing system in a nutshell.

Do not get distracted by all the fancy bells and whistles. And don’t lose sight of the key objective, which is to drive traffic to a lead capture page, and serve the needs of your subscribers with relevant information, advice, and product recommendations.

5 Signs Your Business Needs Marketing Automation

If you’re a B2B marketer, you possibly deal with one or more of such things once a day: search marketing, email marketing, social media, lead generation, and the list goes on. For some marketers, the day is spent juggling each of these one by one, the only relief coming is in the form of lunch or a fast washroom break. The days are long, yet it seems as time is constantly short.

If this sounds familiar, it may be time to think about a system that can do piles of the work for you. Several overwhelmed B2B marketers have begun turning to tools like marketing automation to take the manual work out of tiring marketing tasks like ROI reporting, lead qualification, and much more. Think you could benefit from marketing automation, as well?

1. Nurturing your leads:

If you are like most businesses. Most of your leads might not be sales-ready. You might have nurturing process, but if your leads are constantly falling over the cracks, this is a clear sign that you need marketing automation. Marketing automation software is an amazing way to push your non sales -ready leads to nurturing tracks and communicate with the continuously through perfectly- timed, automated messages.

2. Tension between you and your sales team:

Tension between your sales team and you is something that stays high all the time. It is because your sales team is unable to differentiate a good lead from a bad one. If you are going through this, then marketing automation is a good fit for you. It helps marketers to score leads accurately based on activity and demographics, so sales team won’t waste their time on chasing unqualified leads.

3. Your content is going outdated:

Do you have a bulk of content that you are not able to use effectively? Don’t panic, even we marketers who use marketing automation have issues with this. However, creating standard emails, automated programs, and landing pages that you can clone every single piece of content will certainly help. Creating and cloning your best marketing campaigns for each single channel will turn into your new favorite thing.

4. You take a “one size, fits all” approach:

You probably may not be able to increase your engagement level because you send the same tired message to everybody in your database. What’s your excuse on this? You don’t have to highlight and engage your prospects. Marketing automation integrates all of your marketing data including detailed prospect and client interactions/behaviors, so you can section the right message to every client.

5. Marketing Lacks Credibility:

This may be the biggest motivation to adopt marketing automation. Marketers must grab a seat at the table in any organization, however that is not always the situation. Marketing automation can position your team as a revenue generator, rather than an expense center – acquiring you the credibility and impact that you deserve.

How to Know the Best Network Marketing Company

Without any doubt if you are an advocate of financial freedom or a person open to new business opportunities, chances are you have heard about multi-level marketing (MLM), direct selling, or network marketing business opportunity and your problem is to know the best network marketing company to join as there’re varieties to choose from.

You may probably have an image firmly planted in your mind of what network marketing is, based on the seemingly endless debate over whether these companies and programs are legitimate business opportunities or not. You may have been in the industry for some time, shifting from one company to the other searching for the best company to join.

This article will give you the real scoop about network marketing and how to know the best company to join in MLM. I strongly believe that the entire industry is poised for explosive growth and can be one of the most significant solutions to any country’s youth unemployment crisis. The biggest problem in the industry is amateur networkers coming into the industry without proper training about network marketing and the leaders in the industry are not doing much to train the upcoming and aspiring network marketers.

Those who are in the industry are not willing to invest in their education to know the right way to do the business, that is why “The beauty of MLM is the low cost of entry and the bad thing in MLM, is also the low cost of entry. People fail to invest in their education once they join any MLM company and expect to be successful in the industry and once they are not getting the result they anticipated thy move to another company because the money they spent in joining the previous company is something they can forget without a fight.

If they spend a fortune to start it, they will do everything possible to make it work; they will invest in their education, give their time because the money involves cannot go down without them looking for ways to recover it. But in network marketing they expect more from the little investment and if they don’t see that in few weeks they will start screaming SCAM. One thing network marketing does is to expose you to your weaknesses and require you to address them through education or you quit. Many leave the company once that weaknesses showed up and label that company fake.

In every company business presentation the presenter will say they are the best and their distributors will go out to say the same to their prospects. I will not blame them for that as any company that puts money in your pocket is the best company to you. To be successful in any network marketing company require a renewal of your mind, you must have a positive mental attitude towards network marketing.

I cannot list a number of Good network marketing companies, below are some of the factors that make up a good network marketing company and it will help you choose wisely.

Check The Registration and Ranking Status: In the Network Marketing and Direct Sales industry there is an organization called the Direct Selling Association (DSA) http://www.DSA.org. There are thousands of Network Marketing Companies in the world, only about 200 or a few more of them are registered with DSA. The reason is because every member company must abide by high strict business ethics given by the organization which include on how they deal with their distributors. It does not mean that any other company that is not registered with them is not legit, but you will be on the safe side working with a company registered with them because they belong to a regulatory body that check-mate their excesses. For ranking check mlmrankings.com and businessforhome.org search on the company to know if they have been featured or rank on these sites. Check an honest review of the company through Goggle and YouTube to know what distributors and online network marketing coaches and writers have been saying about the company. I know there are companies out there with good intentions that are not registered with DSA, so explore every other means below to make your choice.

How old is the company in business?

You may hear terms like “ground floor company” or “start-up opportunity”. This entirely means the company is brand new. Statistics show that high percentage of new companies fail within their first five years because they are still in their formation stage. Every company started new and those that play the gamble of joining at the formation 5 years are the one reaping most of the dividend today therefore If you are OK with joining a new company in hopes that it will still be around after five years and you are one of the few that “got in early” then this should not be a problem for you.

Check the Integrity of the Management Team. If the company is relatively new and you want to go ahead with it, check the integrity of the management team, the experience of the CEO and the team in Network Marketing Industry, their backgrounds and reputations. How many years’ experience they have in the industry and have they been successful in other companies in the network marketing industry. Their experience will help them shape the company to last a very long time than a money bag that just want to take advantage of the industry to amass wealth.

If you can, talk to people that are currently involved with the company. Ask the person that is presenting the business opportunity to you if they can introduce you to other members, preferably members not in their team and listen to their stories about their real life experience with the company.

Check Their Products or Services: This is a business, and just like if you were running a franchise or a storefront you must take a franchise of a product you know you can sell easily. Find out the features and benefits of their products to see if it will meet the need of the people you want to introduce into the business and those that will be your customers, will they use it and need more of the products?

Examine the Compensation Plan. Compensation plans come in all shapes and sizes. Some are extremely complex to understand and others are very simple. You must know how fair and generous the overall distribution is. This is really important as the pay plan represents exactly how you’ll get paid–or not get paid. If you don’t understand the pay plan how are you supposed to know how much effort will be required for a certain level of pay?

Sincerely Compensation explanation is complex subjects that cannot be explain fully in this article, even when you are explaining a simple compensation plan, but you must know the basis before starting your own network marketing business.

There are five types of compensation plans used in Network Marketing industry, with many variations of each. There is probably no one plan that is perfect or right for everyone at every time. What may be the best plan for you today could change due to regulations, your experience in the industry and/or the type of product, even new technology. And, it’s those variations that can make the difference.

Let’s take a look at the 5 different types of plans in their most basis forms, they are…

  1. Stair Step Break A Way {Board Breaking etc)
  2. Uni-Level
  3. Matrix
  4. Australian
  5. Binary

Most new aspiring network marketing business owners always ask, which of these network marketing compensation plans is best. There is no one sentence that fits the answer to this question. It depends a lot on your personality and what you want to achieve from your network marketing business. The thing to remember is that, apart from retail profit where applicable, a network marketing compensation plan pays you for a combination of product sales and sales management. So if you are more of a traditional salesperson who can move tons of products, it may be advisable to go with the company that pays more for product sales than for managing sales teams. If you really want to make it big in network marketing, study the compensation plan of any company before signing up.

Online Marketing: Make sure the company policy allows you to utilize the internet as a marketing tool and they must have system in place that will help you do that, such as your replicated website, online payment system, online product delivery system etc. People are utilizing the internet as their main marketing tool because of the automation on the internet that has allowed a much more consistent method of following up.

The only reason why some companies don’t accept online marketing is due to people who utilize it to spam and that can give a very bad reputation not only to the distributor, but also to the company you’re working with.

In conclusion, the best company in network marketing is the one that has a realistic pay plan, which is a compensation plan where the incentives given to members are achievable by the company through their product and services. You must also take notice of some of the points listed above to make your choices.